Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 0.059444 0.067374 0.075573 0.084652 0.094396 0.104511 0.115776
2025-03-30 0.047674 0.059514 0.072465 0.087544 0.104478 0.122780 0.143930
2025-04-06 0.040308 0.054670 0.071136 0.091074 0.114243 0.140020 0.170578
2025-04-13 0.033186 0.048803 0.067523 0.091011 0.119124 0.151174 0.189967
2025-04-20 0.030556 0.047853 0.069298 0.096911 0.130658 0.169782 0.217804
2025-04-27 0.025251 0.042744 0.065332 0.095306 0.132812 0.177106 0.232305
2025-05-04 0.022651 0.040868 0.065168 0.098172 0.140207 0.190528 0.253931
2025-05-11 0.019237 0.037403 0.062555 0.097605 0.143109 0.198372 0.268806
2025-05-18 0.017461 0.036094 0.062670 0.100449 0.150211 0.211297 0.289812
2025-05-25 0.015709 0.034593 0.062348 0.102581 0.156321 0.222966 0.309307
2025-06-01 0.013002 0.031203 0.059043 0.100424 0.156674 0.227316 0.319727
2025-06-08 0.010674 0.028098 0.055875 0.098217 0.156769 0.231200 0.329472
2025-06-15 0.009851 0.027650 0.056834 0.102061 0.165295 0.246300 0.353871
2025-06-22 0.008761 0.026578 0.056772 0.104459 0.171969 0.259197 0.375779
2025-06-29 0.008045 0.026121 0.057630 0.108182 0.180481 0.274548 0.400917
2025-07-06 0.006728 0.024208 0.055960 0.108055 0.183627 0.282900 0.417207
2025-07-13 0.006655 0.024950 0.058724 0.114612 0.196122 0.303578 0.449336
2025-07-20 0.005326 0.022614 0.056077 0.112822 0.196837 0.308709 0.461558
2025-07-27 0.004846 0.022184 0.056687 0.116009 0.204582 0.323171 0.485839
2025-08-03 0.003953 0.020501 0.054918 0.115378 0.206815 0.330260 0.500599
2025-08-10 0.003592 0.020159 0.055558 0.118540 0.214508 0.344697 0.524956
2025-08-17 0.003187 0.019592 0.055721 0.120908 0.221044 0.357591 0.547348
2025-08-24 0.002412 0.017633 0.053042 0.118512 0.220502 0.360812 0.557009